Guardiola revisits probability calculation for clash with Real: 'I lied'

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola revisited his previous statements about The Citizens' chances against Real Madrid during a press conference ahead of the second leg. City will have to overturn a deficit at the Santiago Bernabéu.

SoccerDino, Website Writer
Published: 11:21, 19 Feb 2025

Real Madrid and Manchester City will face off at 21:00 in the second leg of their Champions League clash, with City needing to overturn a deficit after a dramatic first-leg defeat.

Guardiola’s side suffered a 3-2 loss at home last week after conceding two late goals to Real Madrid, leaving them with an uphill battle at the Santiago Bernabéu. The match in Manchester was a showcase of attacking quality and tactical discipline, but ultimately, City’s defensive lapses cost them dearly. With the tie now shifting to Madrid, the pressure is mounting on Guardiola and his players to produce a near-perfect performance against one of the most successful clubs in Champions League history.

City's loss in the first leg was particularly frustrating, as they had taken the lead twice but failed to see out the game. Real Madrid, known for their ability to strike at crucial moments, capitalized on City’s errors and secured a crucial away victory. The late collapse was reminiscent of previous City disappointments in Europe, raising concerns about whether the team has the mentality to handle the high-stakes pressure of Champions League knockout matches. With the Bernabéu crowd set to create an intimidating atmosphere, City must find a way to rise above their recent struggles and deliver a performance worthy of a team chasing European glory.

Following City's dominant home win over Newcastle United on Saturday, Guardiola initially downplayed his team's chances, stating that they had only a one percent chance of reaching the quarter-finals. The comment was seen as a psychological tactic, perhaps aimed at lowering expectations or motivating his players. However, during a press conference in Madrid, the Spanish manager retracted his earlier comments, acknowledging that he had exaggerated the situation. "I am a liar," Guardiola admitted in front of the assembled media. "When I said we only have a one percent chance, I lied to you. But the reality is that we are far from our best form." His statement, though lighthearted in tone, highlighted the concerns that City fans and analysts have been discussing for weeks this is not the dominant City of past seasons, and they face a major challenge in turning the tie around against a battle-hardened Real Madrid side.

Guardiola acknowledged City's struggles this season, admitting that their performances have not been up to the usual high standards set by the club. "We have been underperforming, and that is reflected in our results," he said. Despite a strong showing against Newcastle, he remained cautious. "One good match does not change reality. But, of course, it is nice to go to Madrid with a result like that behind us." While the win over Newcastle provided a much-needed boost in confidence, Guardiola knows that facing Real Madrid in the Champions League is an entirely different challenge.

City’s inconsistency this season has been a topic of discussion among pundits and fans, with some questioning whether fatigue is playing a role in their performances. Having won the treble last season, the physical and mental demands on the squad have been immense. Key players such as Kevin De Bruyne and Erling Haaland have struggled with injuries at various points in the campaign, and while City still possess an incredibly talented squad, they have not displayed the same relentless dominance that defined their previous campaigns. Guardiola’s tactical adjustments will be crucial if City are to stand a chance in Madrid, as Real’s midfield control and attacking precision have the potential to punish any defensive lapses.

Real Madrid, on the other hand, are brimming with confidence. Their ability to perform in crucial Champions League matches is well-documented, and they will be eager to finish the job in front of their home supporters. With players like Vinícius Júnior, Jude Bellingham, and Luka Modrić in top form, Carlo Ancelotti’s side poses a significant threat to City’s ambitions. Madrid's experience in handling pressure-filled situations gives them an edge, and their counter-attacking ability could exploit City’s high defensive line.

As the match approaches, Guardiola will need to make key decisions regarding his lineup and tactical approach. Will he adopt a more cautious strategy to prevent another late collapse, or will he push for an aggressive start to unsettle Madrid early? The answer may determine whether City can complete a famous comeback or whether their Champions League hopes will be dashed once again at the hands of Real Madrid. One thing is certain—the stage is set for another thrilling European night at the Santiago Bernabéu.

Updated: 11:21, 19 Feb 2025